Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 85.082827 95.065103 105.267383 116.443891 128.313367 140.514197 153.974945
2025-01-26 71.826429 86.453457 102.041815 119.768933 139.251174 159.900494 183.332922
2025-02-02 63.858768 81.218406 100.287014 122.539832 147.559757 174.606131 205.841408
2025-02-09 55.439095 74.379855 95.791478 121.378210 150.736419 183.019597 220.862350
2025-02-16 48.594511 68.607123 91.846585 120.220601 153.364823 190.352324 234.259407
2025-02-23 43.972300 65.015655 90.043072 121.172441 158.088521 199.790841 249.805586
2025-03-02 39.472670 61.163673 87.583666 121.042592 161.294903 207.287238 262.971394
2025-03-09 35.954046 58.247567 86.012402 121.755612 165.310050 215.575997 276.935645
2025-03-16 31.956878 54.380266 82.989226 120.463197 166.737185 220.690903 287.100284
2025-03-23 29.675772 52.627957 82.501507 122.182934 171.701204 229.901258 301.998004
2025-03-30 27.751867 51.211224 82.327506 124.199540 176.956608 239.413153 317.228389
2025-04-06 24.941069 48.319958 80.043764 123.391105 178.619921 244.546765 327.223533
2025-04-13 21.685663 44.555872 76.437088 120.774200 177.982251 246.906879 333.969261
2025-04-20 20.936264 44.502877 77.861883 124.710987 185.579891 259.283848 352.745053
2025-04-27 19.873737 43.875146 78.426785 127.467948 191.658236 269.798800 369.292292
2025-05-04 17.693975 41.300391 76.120858 126.290520 192.639690 274.004715 378.187256
2025-05-11 15.713893 38.871513 73.889428 125.102724 193.520945 278.023425 386.808789
2025-05-18 14.493871 37.614540 73.287074 126.078130 197.163256 285.444464 399.566001
2025-05-25 13.090696 35.910714 71.932484 125.945067 199.307380 290.963491 409.978634
2025-06-01 12.012588 34.689514 71.234842 126.675494 202.551213 297.841794 422.054969
2025-06-08 10.559339 32.622137 69.137796 125.351507 203.012389 301.169893 429.724437
2025-06-15 9.886212 31.988388 69.228973 127.113225 207.571299 309.682802 443.819249
2025-06-22 9.321314 31.516725 69.544780 129.178762 212.530876 318.709436 458.567773